HVF Theory

Francis Hunt (“The Market Sniper”) Trading Strategy Principles (Part 2/2). By Alvaro Rivero

Part 2.   Francis Hunt (“The Market Sniper”) Trading Strategy (part 1/2). By Alvaro River2   The market creates a set of criteria (levels prior to an event) and then distinctly moves in a manner that says: “Right, I’m about ready to take serious direction in the following way”. This is the big unspoken key aspect that is unique to the Hunt Volatility Funnel theory. The HVF concept “key  levels of significance (KLOS)” goes beyond just support and resistance, the traditionally well­known element of horizontal levels in technical analysis. Key points: – Why to trade the “breakout way”? The clearest result of a good breakout strategy is to gain a substantial return very fast; In

Francis Hunt (“The Market Sniper”) Trading Strategy Principles (Part 1/2). By Alvaro Rivero

The full article here below. Francis Hunt (“The Market Sniper”) trading strategy (part 1/2). By Alvaro Rivero   The principles: 1) Greed keeps you in a trade and pain takes you out: Extreme volatility of an equity curve shows a trading strategy weakness and is a warning of a crash (the “recovery ladder” stablish that the larger the draw-down the bigger the effort to get back to where you started). 2) Is the juice worth the squeeze?: In other words, what´s the Probability of Outcome [POUT score]?, and given the probability of that, what is the Reward to that Risk Ratio [RRR] and Time to Target Expectancy [ToTE]?. There is a complete lack of people

AMZN, BABA – Tech/Online Retailers to dissappoint

Hi, Christmas is here, could it be that the... ...US Tech Retailers BABA and AMZN are set to disappoint? Note from the chart Below: the OBV divergence the exhaustive melt up high The precipitative Gap sell off The Legacy Upside funnel run [L1 & RL2] The failure in the gap zone currently [RH1/2] 775 as a KLoS [Not Drawn] AMZN H8 BABA Daily Note Above: Meltup exhaustive gap at 90 KLoS on final melt up exhaustion run Small Red Head & Shoulders with 100 neckline made target at 90 Target 90 is possible RL1 Inv HVF at KLoS [90 and H&S TGT] Potential Larger H&S with 90 neckline, possible TGT 70 [Both H&S’s

Pound Flash Crash predicted by HVF Theory – GBPUSD & GBPJPY

Hi,   We were expecting continuation for a downside break on GBP across a number of pairs, especially GBPUSD & GBPJPY. We had an Inverted HVF [Hunt Volatility Funnel] in an advanced stage. Here were our scenariocasts on these pairs including some from private clients on basecamp: A GBPJPY Scenariocast from September   A GBPUSD progression from an earlier scenario, pre-flashcrash.     The Flash Crash through Target GBPUSD   A graduates draw from premium Basecamp on the GBPUSD:     Subsequent Progress ==>     Melt Down Through Target!     Fundmanetally these were the 'reasons'. [But how were we positioned before, if these were true?] https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/gbp-live-today/5558-gbp-to-eur-and-usd-manufacturing-production   How Ironic, at thinnest trade time

My recommended Traders reading book list & Free resources +YouTube Playlists

Hi, In this post I have placed a Book List of worthy reads by segment. Below that are some awesome free video's to watch too. I hope you enjoy feel free to drop comments & suggestions below. Sharing this post with likes is greatly appreciated, if it has been useful to you. Warm Wishes Francis     ==============   Book List   Mental Psychological   Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglas – Have read, Excellent focus on mental posture towards risk. Key point is you can analyse and study all you want to fundamentally, to improve as a trader you need to develop the right emotional response to risk.   The Chimp Paradox Dr

Short & Sweet Micro post – 5 Bullets why Deutsche Bank will not exist in current form for long.

    Below: 1.  Deutsche Bank's failure to recover beyond a dead cat bounce post 2008, belies ' a never was fixed' narrative 2. Macro Weekly Inv HVF technical set up that has already triggered, with Target through Nought see below charts 3. H4 Inv HVF winding up at the level of the first Interim Level 1, with a Target to Interim level 2 4. Fundamentally: Continual losses unchecked, below even most pessimistic expectations 5. Unheralded Derivatives positions totally 75 Trillion..5x entire EU GDP and 20x, excessissive leverage to capital base. Bonus Reason:  Was the Dumb money in last subprime crisis with US Investment banks unloading their toxic CDO positions to DB near the end.

Virtual Trading Metamorphosis Program [vTMP] & a Value Pack ‘Lite’ Program – Theory Weekend, Traders Vault & 3 weeks Full basecamp.

Hi, My Next Theory weekend, which is the Kickoff & Official commencement for a new Trading Metamorphosis Program [TMP], the 6 month [2 month educational, 4 month Implementation], is on June the 18th 2016, This will be a 'Virtual' delivered Program only for this date, you will see me in a window on your, NoteBook, Ipad or Desktop plus my screen share in a separate windows. As always we are live and interactive for questions throughout the weekend sessions in a Gotomeeting Structure. But the key opportunity, for those interested in the lower price entry point in cost terms, we have put together as a once off, a high value Low Cost sampler "The Value

My suggested, “Trading, Hard Technical Topics & Entertaining Narrative Reads + Mentality, Financial & Geopolitical Macro Game” Book list

  Hi,   This is not meant to be a conclusive list. But solid areas of value add in technical analysis are found here, with no fluff, all aspects contribute where most indicators don't.   Also some key mentality ponderings for 'inner game'. Then get some understanding of the Macro game of players and the levers to understand Intramarket flows and Knock on effects.   Hope you enjoy, no incentives taken for the list and I am quite blunt and direct on what I believes is valuable and whats not. I am not an 'everything is awesome' kinda of Guy, to rate as 'good' normally requires others 'Exceptional/must read!' billing or is just in my

Brochure -Trading Metamorphosis Program

Hi, Please find our trading metaMorphosis Brochure right here:- Final Brochure 21.04.16     See you on the other side for your Trading 'Shift'. Warm Wishes Francis