Uncategorized

In November 2015 we said sell China Buy Russia, what is our trade theme for 2017?

In November 2015 we said sell China Buy Russia, what is our trade theme for 2017? The Ruble was one of the strongest currencies and oil staged a partial recovery, whilst China failed. Here is what we have for you this year, the East is in trouble in our view. But precious Metals will shine.. for a 30% move+ to the Yen, for Gold alone & 60%+  for Silver [XAUJPY, XAGJPY].

AMZN, BABA – Tech/Online Retailers to dissappoint

Hi, Christmas is here, could it be that the... ...US Tech Retailers BABA and AMZN are set to disappoint? Note from the chart Below: the OBV divergence the exhaustive melt up high The precipitative Gap sell off The Legacy Upside funnel run [L1 & RL2] The failure in the gap zone currently [RH1/2] 775 as a KLoS [Not Drawn] AMZN H8 BABA Daily Note Above: Meltup exhaustive gap at 90 KLoS on final melt up exhaustion run Small Red Head & Shoulders with 100 neckline made target at 90 Target 90 is possible RL1 Inv HVF at KLoS [90 and H&S TGT] Potential Larger H&S with 90 neckline, possible TGT 70 [Both H&S’s

EURRUB the Short that Gives Both at both ends.

Hi, I like the idea of a $EURRUB short, I expect both the Euro to devalue and for the Ruble to be one of the strongest Currencies for short/Medium term, technically. Plus you get a massive carry interest rate differential, longer you hold the bigger the interest. I have covered my 'Bearish' technical view on the EURUSD quite extensively. Here are some quick hit charts and a clip on that, Both Weekly An Daily. Here is todays EURUSD Saxo Chart However, Here is the USDRUB. large Weekly TF shows a Head & Shoulders. Likely Key Level of Significance [KLoS], = 65 plus we also have an Inv HVF set up on this level. [2nd chart]

Pound Flash Crash predicted by HVF Theory – GBPUSD & GBPJPY

Hi,   We were expecting continuation for a downside break on GBP across a number of pairs, especially GBPUSD & GBPJPY. We had an Inverted HVF [Hunt Volatility Funnel] in an advanced stage. Here were our scenariocasts on these pairs including some from private clients on basecamp: A GBPJPY Scenariocast from September   A GBPUSD progression from an earlier scenario, pre-flashcrash.     The Flash Crash through Target GBPUSD   A graduates draw from premium Basecamp on the GBPUSD:     Subsequent Progress ==>     Melt Down Through Target!     Fundmanetally these were the 'reasons'. [But how were we positioned before, if these were true?] https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/gbp-live-today/5558-gbp-to-eur-and-usd-manufacturing-production   How Ironic, at thinnest trade time

H2 China Re-emergence, to postpone 2016 FED Hikes? Copper, AUD & USDCNH say maybe

https://vimeo.com/180902030 The slides here, including the Copper, AUDUSD, AUDNZD, USDCNH [Offshore Renmimbi] Charts http://www.slideshare.net/FrancisHuntTheMarket/china-to-be-the-reason-no-fed-rate-hike-this-year Here is also a AUDNZD progress update on this Inverted HVF which is related, for those looking into this. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oaWPmy2XzBM   Warm Wishes Francis

Warning against Shorting the FTSE100 on Bloomberg

Dont short the FTSE100, just for the first RSI 70 crossover!   A First overBought RSI, is never sufficient justification for shorts. Below is 6 successive cross overs on a monthly chart from 2005 at 5375, till the peak at the end of 2007 at 6800's some 2.5 years and 1400 plus points later. http://www.slideshare.net/FrancisHuntTheMarket?utm_campaign=profiletracking&utm_medium=sssite&utm_source=ssslideview   MultiTimeframe analysis, cross asset analysis, price patterns. Don't confuse the markets with the state of the economy or the collectives mood. https://youtu.be/0E6iX_rAPUA Warm Wishes Francis