In November 2015 we said sell China Buy Russia, what is our trade theme for 2017? The Ruble was one of the strongest currencies and oil staged a partial recovery, whilst China failed. Here is what we have for you this year, the East is in trouble in our view. But precious Metals will shine.. for a 30% move+ to the Yen, for Gold alone & 60%+ for Silver [XAUJPY, XAGJPY].
Hi, Christmas is here, could it be that the... ...US Tech Retailers BABA and AMZN are set to disappoint? Note from the chart Below: the OBV divergence the exhaustive melt up high The precipitative Gap sell off The Legacy Upside funnel run [L1 & RL2] The failure in the gap zone currently [RH1/2] 775 as a KLoS [Not Drawn] AMZN H8 BABA Daily Note Above: Meltup exhaustive gap at 90 KLoS on final melt up exhaustion run Small Red Head & Shoulders with 100 neckline made target at 90 Target 90 is possible RL1 Inv HVF at KLoS [90 and H&S TGT] Potential Larger H&S with 90 neckline, possible TGT 70 [Both H&S’s
Hi, I like the idea of a $EURRUB short, I expect both the Euro to devalue and for the Ruble to be one of the strongest Currencies for short/Medium term, technically. Plus you get a massive carry interest rate differential, longer you hold the bigger the interest. I have covered my 'Bearish' technical view on the EURUSD quite extensively. Here are some quick hit charts and a clip on that, Both Weekly An Daily. Here is todays EURUSD Saxo Chart However, Here is the USDRUB. large Weekly TF shows a Head & Shoulders. Likely Key Level of Significance [KLoS], = 65 plus we also have an Inv HVF set up on this level. [2nd chart]
Francis Hunt – Preview for Appearance on ‘The Value of Everything’ Podcast – Australian Property Bubble to burst & Preparing for the probable Hard Economic Reset
Francis Hunt - Preview for Appearance on 'The Value of Everything' Podcast. Sunset over Sydney? My take on why Australian PropertyBubble will burts, and preparing for a possible Hard Global Economic Reset. https://youtu.be/pPoKj5G66kY
Hi, We were expecting continuation for a downside break on GBP across a number of pairs, especially GBPUSD & GBPJPY. We had an Inverted HVF [Hunt Volatility Funnel] in an advanced stage. Here were our scenariocasts on these pairs including some from private clients on basecamp: A GBPJPY Scenariocast from September A GBPUSD progression from an earlier scenario, pre-flashcrash. The Flash Crash through Target GBPUSD A graduates draw from premium Basecamp on the GBPUSD: Subsequent Progress ==> Melt Down Through Target! Fundmanetally these were the 'reasons'. [But how were we positioned before, if these were true?] https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/gbp-live-today/5558-gbp-to-eur-and-usd-manufacturing-production How Ironic, at thinnest trade time
Deflation reset, No Helicopter money and The war on cash..as Slow motion Bank Bail in’s on negative rates.
A different voice says we enter an ‘Economic Winter’, all QE will deflate away in an all asset meltdown
https://vimeo.com/180902030 The slides here, including the Copper, AUDUSD, AUDNZD, USDCNH [Offshore Renmimbi] Charts http://www.slideshare.net/FrancisHuntTheMarket/china-to-be-the-reason-no-fed-rate-hike-this-year Here is also a AUDNZD progress update on this Inverted HVF which is related, for those looking into this. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oaWPmy2XzBM Warm Wishes Francis
Dont short the FTSE100, just for the first RSI 70 crossover! A First overBought RSI, is never sufficient justification for shorts. Below is 6 successive cross overs on a monthly chart from 2005 at 5375, till the peak at the end of 2007 at 6800's some 2.5 years and 1400 plus points later. http://www.slideshare.net/FrancisHuntTheMarket?utm_campaign=profiletracking&utm_medium=sssite&utm_source=ssslideview MultiTimeframe analysis, cross asset analysis, price patterns. Don't confuse the markets with the state of the economy or the collectives mood. https://youtu.be/0E6iX_rAPUA Warm Wishes Francis